WSJ 힐센래스 "Fed, 美 경제전망 우려…내년 금리인상 가능성"

WSJ 힐센래스 "Fed, 美 경제전망 우려…내년 금리인상 가능성"

승인 2015.04.22  08:51:55

(서울=연합인포맥스) 김지연 기자 = 연방준비제도(Fed) 위원들이 미국 경제 전망을 우려하고 있으며 Fed의 금리 인상이 내년으로 미뤄질 가능성이 있다고 월스트리트저널(WSJ)의 존 힐센래스 연방준비제도(Fed) 전문기자가 진단했다.

힐센래스는 21일(미국시간) 기사에서 윌리엄 더들리 뉴욕 연방준비은행 총재의 전일 연설을 인용, Fed 내에서 달러화 강세와 유가 하락이 미국 경제에 부정적 영향을 끼칠 것이란 우려가 커지고 있다고 설명했다.

더들리 총재는 전일 뉴욕에서 열린 한 행사에 참석해 "2014년 중순 이후 달러화 가치가 15%가량 오르면서 수입은 경쟁력이 있어졌지만, 수출을 더 어렵게 만들었다 "며 뉴욕 연은이 계산한 결과 이는 올해 실질 국내총생산(GDP)을 0.6%포인트 떨어트릴 것이라고 말했다.

그는 유가 하락에 대해서도 "가계 소비를 늘리는 데 도움이 되지만, 기업 투자에는 반대의 효과를 낸다"며 저유가로 원유 탐사와 채굴활동이 급격히 줄어 미국 경제활동 전반에 하방 압력으로 작용할 것으로 예상했다.

힐센래스는 "더들리 총재가 다행히도 경제지표가 좋게 나와 Fed가 올해 금리를 올리더라도 이것이 Fed가 긴축적 통화정책을 펼 것이라는 뜻은 아니다"고 말했다며 더들리 총재가 올해 금리 인상론을 희망사항으로 치부했다고 진단했다.

3월 기준으로 Fed 위원 17명 중 15명이 올해 금리를 올릴 것으로 예상했었다.

힐센래스는 투자자들과 Fed 위원들 사이에서 Fed가 올해 9월 혹은 내년에 금리를 올릴 것이란 전망이 지지를 받고 있다며 앞으로 몇 달간 미국 경제지표가 나쁘게 나오면 이들의 금리 인상 전망 역시 계속 뒤로 미뤄지게 될 것이라고 덧붙였다.

http://news.einfomax.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=150315

http://topics.wsj.com/person/H/jon-e-hilsenrath/1368

Grand Central: Mr. Dudley Hedges Himself on 2015 Rate Increase

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/04/21/grand-central-mr-dudley-hedges-himself-on-2015-rate-increase/

Fed’s Dudley: Hopeful for 2015 Rate Increase, but Action Depends on Economy

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/04/20/feds-dudley-exact-timing-of-rate-increases-uncertain-expects-economy-to-rebound/

https://www.google.co.jp/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=William+Dudley&tbm=nws

Treasuries Fall Amid Fears Growth Will Spur Rate Hike Investor's Business Daily - ‎8 시간 전‎ Yields on the securities closed above 1.9% for the first time since April 13 after Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley said on Monday he is relatively optimistic U.S. growth will support an increase in borrowing costs this year. Treasury 2-year notes fall third day on Fed rate speculation Worcester Telegram - ‎10 시간 전‎ The securities, which are most sensitive to changes in expectations for monetary policy, touched the highest yield in a week after Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William C. Dudley said on Monday he is relatively optimistic that U.S. growth will ... Fed: It'll Be Different This Time CFO Magazine - ‎11 시간 전‎ But when they do finally start increasing rates, “we will simply be moving from an extremely accommodative monetary policy to one that is only slightly less so,” New York Fed President William C. Dudley has said. Most economists now expect the Fed to wait ... US Fed still wants its share of easy money mydigitalfc.com - ‎12 시간 전‎ Lacker, in a recent speech, reached for a metaphor made famous by former Fed Chairman William McChesney Martin, who said the Fed's job is to take the punch bowl away before the party gets started. “Raising the funds rate target a notch or two is less like ... Fed's Dudley has last word, and it's meant to be soothing MarketWatch - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — New York Fed President William Dudley on Monday tried to dampen two market concerns: that the poor first-quarter data show an economy is slipping into another disappointing funk and, secondly, that any rate hike would set ... Current Mortgage Rates for Tuesday, April 21, 2015 Mortgage Rates & Trends (blog) - ‎15 시간 전‎ New York Fed President William Dudley gave a speech, and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren gave an interview to the Financial Times. Both Dudley and Rosengren are considered to be doves, and Dudley is a voting member of the FOMC this year, ... Timing Of US Interest Rate Hike Depends on Economic Performance, Dudley Says Action Forex - ‎19 시간 전‎ The timing of the first US interest rate hike in a decade continues to depend on economic performance, according to New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley. In comments, Dudley repeated cautious optimism that the world's biggest economy will ... Fed Plays Down Liftoff Timing as It Emphasizes Gradual Rate Pace Bloomberg - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ New York Fed President William C. Dudley stressed on Monday that once they start to lift rates above zero, “we will simply be moving from an extremely accommodative monetary policy to one that is only slightly less so.” While they have left the door open for ... Comments from Fed Dudley overnight ForexLive - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ As president of the NY Fed, Dudley is a big wheel at the Fed. The head of the NY Fed, for example, has a permanent vote on the FOMC, unlike the other regional offices, which rotate on and off. Dudley's comments via the Wall Street Journal. there is nothing ... Dow Jumps 200 Points as China Eases Like It's 2008, Fed Coos Barron's (blog) - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ Back in the U.S., New York Fed Chief William Dudley commented on the possibility of rate hikes in the U.S., noting that even if they were to go higher it wouldn't mean monetary policy would necessarily be tight. Evercore ISI's Dennis DeBusschere explains:. 'Sooner Rates Rise the Better' for Many, Says AB Barron's (blog) - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ The Federal Reserve has made it pretty clear it would like to raise rates in 2015. In fact, on Monday morning, New York Fed President William Dudley said “hopefully” economic data would support liftoff later this year. That's a scary idea for fixed-income ... 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He said he is rotating examiners to ... 4 Reasons the Fed Won't Raise Rates Investorplace.com - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ Following the disappointing March payroll report and other economic news, New York Fed Governor William Dudley issued a prediction that U.S. economic growth will slow to 1% in the first quarter and reach just 2.2% for the rest of 2015. Dudley noted that the ... FED'S DUDLEY: 6 reasons why the Fed raising rates won't trigger an emerging ... Business Insider - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ Markets are focused on one big thing right now: when will the Fed raise rates. In a speech at Bloomberg's Americas Monetary Summit on Monday, New York Fed president Bill Dudley indicated that it will likely be appropriate for the Fed to raise rates sometime ... Dudley: Growth Rebound Should Support Rate Rises in 2015 Bloomberg - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William C. Dudley said he's relatively optimistic a growth rebound will warrant raising interest rates in 2015, though he's “not reasonably confident right now” inflation will climb. “I believe that the growth prospects ... Fed's Dudley hopeful of interest rate hike this year despite weak data Los Angeles Times - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ "The winter weather was quite severe in the eastern two-thirds of the United States and bottlenecks at the West Coast ports disrupted both sales and production," Dudley said in a speech at the Bloomberg Americas Monetary Summit in New York City, ... Fed's Dudley hopeful on US rate hike this year THE BUSINESS TIMES - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ "We have to see what unfolds," New York Fed President William Dudley said in a speech that repeated cautious optimism that the US economy will continue to expand and that inflation will begin to firm later this year. Still, he said, the economy has further to ... Fed's Dudley: Emerging Markets Can Avert Taper Selloff Barron's (blog) - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ Dudley said many emerging markets appear to be better equipped today to “handle the Fed's prospective exit from its exceptional policy accommodation” than they were during past tightening cycles. He said that following 15 years of hard lessons and reforms ... Even after first rate increase, policy will remain easy: Fed's Dudley CNBC - ‎2015. 4. 20.‎ The data will "hopefully" support a rate hike later this year, Dudley said at the Bloomberg Americas Monetary Summit. But "the timing of normalization remains uncertain because how the economy evolves is also uncertain," he added. Dudley, a permanent ...